Call Audit

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Passport #178196 · Aug 7, 2026 · 07:43 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

@ivanontech

Aug 7, 2026 · 07:43 UTC

BITCOIN IS IN THE BRINK OF THE FATTEST BULL MARKET The time to be bear was Q4 (I was the biggest bear since October 2025) But now most of the losses already happened, altcoins down 80-90%; BTC went 50%+ from the peak and reached 200W MA Could it go lower? Very possible but it matters very little if you DCA, you just keep buying in case it dips a bit more KEEP IT SIMPLE

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@ivanontech's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	declarative
Duration	120 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Clear bullish call ('brink of the fattest bull market', pivot from bear to bull, DCA advice). No specific price targets stated — 50%+ drawdown and 80-90% altcoin declines are historical context, not forward targets. Declarative tone despite acknowledging possible further downside.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC enters a major bull market. No explicit horizon phrase bound to the outcome. 'Fattest bull market' is an earnest macro statement with bullrun/cycle framing → Signal H base 120.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$64,372
Target	—
Duration	120 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	120
Duration used in scoring	120

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$64,372
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 67.64,
  "mfe": 1019.13,
  "mqs": 0.782629,
  "ocs": 0.93776,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-08-07 13:00:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.03622,
  "sigma_d": 0.02074753,
  "eval_end": "2026-08-07 19:30:00+00:00",
  "end_close": 64861,
  "magnitude": 0.782629,
  "max_close": 65308.35,
  "min_close": 64319.84,
  "eval_start": "2026-08-07 07:43:09+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "end_close_ts": "2026-08-07 19:30:00+00:00",
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 120,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.52615,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.689152,
  "activation_price": 64371.86,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 48,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.010374,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}