Call Audit

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Passport #177553 · Aug 6, 2026 · 05:28 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

@ivanontech

Aug 6, 2026 · 05:28 UTC

BITCOIN BOTTOM IS CLOSE!!! Bad news won’t dump it ✅ COLDCARD hack didn’t dump it ✅ Saylor selling every week does not dump it ✅ After selling in Q4 (proof in pinned tweet) I am buying back slowly and will get TWO TIMES MORE BTC THAN I SOLD - could still go lower but the upside of next bull is way bigger than temporary dip

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@ivanontech's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Forecaster claims BTC bottom is close and is buying back expecting the next bull market, clearly an up call. No specific price target is stated. 'Could still go lower' hedges the timing but the upside conviction is present, so mild_hedge fits.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC bottoms and moves up (next bull). 'Bottom is close' is a bottom-call with Signal B2 cues, but 'next bull' pairs it with macro/cycle framing → B2 band ↑ to 60. However, the evaluable claim is the bottom itself ('bottom is close'), not the full bull run. Signal B2 base 30, with 'next bull' macro framing pushing ↑ to 60 — but the primary evaluable outcome is the near-term bottom call. Applying B2 base 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$64,890
Target	—
Duration	30 days · Medium Term

Scoring

0.08composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.20
Path Score (OCS)	0.13
Time Score (TIF)	0.00
Magnitude	0.20
Max Favorable Move	+0.2%
Max Unfavorable Move	−1.1%
Candles evaluated	57 · 1d
Eval window	Aug 6, 2026 · 05:28 UTC → Aug 6, 2026 · 19:30 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$64,890
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 717.99,
  "mfe": 109.01,
  "mqs": 0.195783,
  "ocs": 0.131814,
  "tif": 0,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-08-06 09:00:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.00769,
  "sigma_d": 0.01542017,
  "eval_end": "2026-08-06 19:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.195783,
  "max_close": 64945.71,
  "min_close": 64243.78,
  "eval_start": "2026-08-06 05:28:27+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.217886,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.083822,
  "activation_price": 64889.99,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 57,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.00771,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}