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Call Audit
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Passport #181412 · Aug 10, 2026 · 18:10 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Look, guys... I’m sorry.
I can’t fully explain it, but I know what I’m seeing: $BTC is about to crash hard over the next few weeks.
I apologize in advance for being right again.
And I’m sorry this isn’t the news you wanted to hear. https://t.co/kJOCDqbT5i
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Clear bearish declarative call ('about to crash hard'). No specific price targets provided, so target_lo and target_hi are null.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC crashes hard. 'Over the next few weeks' is bound to the outcome directly. 'Next few weeks' → 14 days per §3.2.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $63,938 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 14 |
| Duration used in scoring | 14 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $63,938 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 82.58,
"mfe": 131.79,
"mqs": 0.260895,
"ocs": 0.614778,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-10 18:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.013811,
"sigma_d": 0.0136362,
"eval_end": "2026-08-10 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 63944.35,
"magnitude": 0.260895,
"max_close": 63944.35,
"min_close": 63888,
"eval_start": "2026-08-10 18:10:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-10 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 14,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.302315,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.222371,
"activation_price": 63938.06,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 6,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.006818,
"scoring_candle_tf": "8h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}