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Passport #154142 · Jul 14, 2026 · 11:30 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
IN@investorjordan
Jul 14, 2026 · 11:30 UTC
$TAO🧠 I absolutely love TAO long term...
But in the short term, I think we are heading to $125/$150 over the next 1–2 months.
It also looks like Subnets 15 & 102 had their owner wallets compromised (that’s the FUD and sell pressure we're seeing today)
I don’t care what your favourite KOL says. You can keep buying every dip because someone tells you it’s “going to $5,000,” or you can recognise we are still in a bear market.
Long term bullish. Short term bearish.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | TAO |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 60 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Short-term bearish call explicitly stated ('Short term bearish', 'heading to $125/$150 over next 1-2 months'). Target range extracted as 125-150. 'I think' softens to mild_hedge. The $5,000 reference is dismissed as someone else's target, not extracted. Long-term bullish comment lacks specific target so not scored.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = TAO declines to $125/$150. 'Over the next 1–2 months' is bound to the outcome. D = 2026-07-14; '1–2 months' → 60 days per §3.2 table.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | TAO |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $198 |
| Target | $125 – $150 |
| Duration | 60 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 60 |
| Duration used in scoring | 60 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $198 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 7,
"mfe": 4.4,
"mqs": 0.431764,
"ocs": 0.385962,
"tif": 0.5,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-15 02:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.071806,
"sigma_d": 0.04974299,
"eval_end": "2026-07-15 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.431764,
"max_close": 204.3,
"min_close": 194.3,
"eval_start": "2026-07-14 11:30:25+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 60,
"mew_days_used": 60,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.565218,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.347383,
"activation_price": 198,
"dir_target_score": 0.077083,
"candles_evaluated": 72,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.039316,
"scoring_candle_tf": "3d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 2,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 2,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
} 