Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #85289 · Dec 1, 2025 · 17:49 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

@inmortalcrypto

Dec 1, 2025 · 17:49 UTC

𝕏

This is worst case scenario imo. 365 days duration - Ends Q4 2026 60k bottom $BTC https://t.co/FdoGKvWf0Q

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@inmortalcrypto's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	heavy_hedge
Duration	396 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Forecaster explicitly states '60k bottom' as worst case scenario by Q4 2026, indicating a downward move to 60k. 'Worst case scenario imo' qualifies this as a heavy hedge — it's a possibility, not a firm prediction.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC drops to 60k bottom. 'Ends Q4 2026' is bound to the outcome; D = 2025-12-01, Q4 2026 ends Dec 31 2026, which is 395 days out → explicit_timeframe = 395. (Using 'in Q4 2026' → last day of Q4 2026 = Dec 31 2026; Dec 31 2026 − Dec 01 2025 = 395 days.)

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$84,943
Target	$60,000 – $60,000
Duration	396 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	explicit_text
Duration stated (days)	396
Duration used in scoring	396

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	heavy_hedge
Spot price at post	$84,943
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 12981.94,
  "mfe": 27142.36,
  "mqs": 0.619242,
  "ocs": 0.676457,
  "tif": 0.75,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.382168,
  "sigma_d": 0.02276509,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-02 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.619242,
  "max_close": 97682.49,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2025-12-01 17:49:36+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 396,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.965592,
  "target_hit_ts": "2026-02-06 00:30:00+00:00",
  "accuracy_score": 0.606967,
  "activation_price": 84942.55,
  "dir_target_score": 1,
  "candles_evaluated": 20399,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.330924,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 8,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 8,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 6,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 8
}