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Passport #84072 · Jun 4, 2026 · 20:03 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
GE@gertvanlagen
Jun 4, 2026 · 20:03 UTC
𝕏 $BTC [1M] ::::: Elliottwave of Blowoff ⑤ started in 2022
(1) ::::: First Impulse
(2) ::::: First Correction
(3) ::::: Extended Third Wave ::: 1-2-3-4-5
(4) ::::: Expanded Flat ::: A-B-C
(5) ::::: Blow-off Impulse ::: at subwave 2 'Shake-out'
Inv ::: Drop below (4).
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 120 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Elliott Wave analysis describes a 'Blow-off Impulse' fifth wave in progress, which is a bullish directional call. No specific price targets are stated. Declarative tone given the structured technical claim with invalidation level provided.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC moves up in a blow-off fifth wave. No explicit horizon phrase bound to the outcome. The post uses macro Elliott Wave framing on the 1-month chart with cycle-level language ('Blowoff ⑤ started in 2022', 'Extended Third Wave', 'Blow-off Impulse') — earnest macro register → Signal H base 120.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $63,505 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 120 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 120 |
| Duration used in scoring | 120 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $63,505 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 5705.12,
"mfe": 3786.84,
"mqs": 0.574451,
"ocs": 0.398952,
"tif": 0.333333,
"mfe_ts": "2026-06-15 16:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.135639,
"sigma_d": 0.02120701,
"eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.574451,
"max_close": 67292.14,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-04 20:03:01+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 120,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.854375,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.360594,
"activation_price": 63505.31,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2822,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.069794,
"scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 3,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 3,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 3
}