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Passport #84069 · Jun 4, 2026 · 19:48 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
GE@gertvanlagen
Jun 4, 2026 · 19:48 UTC
𝕏 $BTC [1M] - Bullish retest of
🟥 2026 downtrend, after breakout
🟦 2021 resistance band, after breakout in 2025
Solid 7-month base in 2024 is very strong support.
Long-term holders are not capitulating.
No macro lower low.
I remain.
very.
bullish.
#Bitcoin https://t.co/56i7hkWLtj
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 120 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Clear bullish stance emphasized with 'I remain. very. bullish.' which is declarative. No explicit price targets stated — references to 2026 downtrend and 2021 resistance band are structural/context, not numeric targets.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC continues upward. No explicit horizon phrase bound to the outcome. The post references a 1M (monthly) chart, a 7-month base, long-term holders, and macro structure ('no macro lower low'), all earnest macro/HTF framing → Signal H base 120.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $63,629 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 120 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 120 |
| Duration used in scoring | 120 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $63,629 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 5829.19,
"mfe": 3662.77,
"mqs": 0.561519,
"ocs": 0.385881,
"tif": 0.333333,
"mfe_ts": "2026-06-15 16:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.130994,
"sigma_d": 0.02120543,
"eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.561519,
"max_close": 67292.14,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-04 19:48:05+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 120,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.824438,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.352932,
"activation_price": 63629.38,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2823,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.069822,
"scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 3,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 3,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 3
}