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Passport #155101 · Jul 16, 2026 · 08:19 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
$ETH is bouncing from the bottom of the Expanding Diagonal structure, targeting the $12k - $20k orange box 🟧 https://t.co/uyFp35Lmlx
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 120 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bullish call with ETH bouncing and targeting the $12k-$20k range. Declarative tone with explicit target range.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH rises to $12k–$20k. No explicit horizon phrase attached to the outcome. The target range ($12k–$20k) is far above any plausible current ETH price, implying a macro/cycle-level thesis; 'Expanding Diagonal structure' is HTF chart analysis. Signal H (macro claim) base 120, with no tiebreaker cues to reduce to 60.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $1,892 |
| Target | $12,000 – $20,000 |
| Duration | 120 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 120 |
| Duration used in scoring | 120 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $1,892 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 89.09,
"mfe": 4.37,
"mqs": 0.154201,
"ocs": 0.046758,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-16 08:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.005286,
"sigma_d": 0.02758109,
"eval_end": "2026-07-18 05:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.154201,
"max_close": 1892.14,
"min_close": 1807.02,
"eval_start": "2026-07-16 08:19:31+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 120,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.167474,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.051561,
"activation_price": 1892.14,
"dir_target_score": 0,
"candles_evaluated": 180,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.013791,
"scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}