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Passport #160811 ยท Jul 19, 2026 ยท 20:01 UTC ยท scored as of Aug 12, 2026 ยท 20:33 UTC
#Bitcoin
$BTC and altcoins. The whole crypto market is set to rise sharply for a very long time. https://t.co/KFZp5ydJJH
Stage 1 ยท Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 ยท Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 ยท Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 120 days ยท Long Term |
| Trigger | โ |
| Trigger Operator | โ |
AI Reasoning
Clear bullish call with 'set to rise sharply' = declarative commitment. No specific price targets stated in the post.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC rises sharply. 'For a very long time' is outcome-bound but not a calendar phrase; the macro register ('whole crypto market', 'rise sharply', 'very long time') is earnest and fits Signal H (bull market framing) โ base 120.
Stage 4 ยท Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 ยท Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $64,505 |
| Target | โ |
| Duration | 120 days ยท Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live โ no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 120 |
| Duration used in scoring | 120 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $64,505 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_5_asset_mismatch: path=3A->4A, claim=BTC, chart=NON_USD_PAIR
Merge Flags
asset_mismatch: trueasset_mismatch_chart: NON_USD_PAIRasset_mismatch_claim: BTC
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 2230.17,
"mfe": 2450.98,
"mqs": 0.742398,
"ocs": 0.523585,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-21 14:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.086747,
"sigma_d": 0.02112187,
"eval_end": "2026-08-06 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 64443.99,
"magnitude": 0.742398,
"max_close": 66944.4,
"min_close": 62340.01,
"eval_start": "2026-07-19 20:01:54+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-06 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 120,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.356338,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.338182,
"activation_price": 64505.17,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 1726,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.028014,
"scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 2,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 2,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}