Passport #172212 · Jul 31, 2026 · 16:29 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
The post implies BTC will drop to 38k with 'I PROMISE' = declarative commitment. Direction is down as 38k is well below typical BTC levels and the phrasing suggests a decline. Single target of 38000.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC drops to $38k. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present. No bounce, urgency, accumulation, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 380.48,
"mfe": 128.25,
"mqs": 0.215117,
"ocs": 0.252098,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-31 16:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.00933,
"sigma_d": 0.01682976,
"eval_end": "2026-07-31 19:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.215117,
"max_close": 63245.44,
"min_close": 62847.54,
"eval_start": "2026-07-31 16:29:49+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.24222,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.119136,
"activation_price": 62921.52,
"dir_target_score": 0.002969,
"candles_evaluated": 12,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.008415,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}