Call Audit

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Passport #168165 · Jul 27, 2026 · 07:19 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

@duje_matic

Jul 27, 2026 · 07:19 UTC

$btc > FOMC catalyst > we need bullish momentum w body close above high to confirm rotation to 74k . IF we fail to run higher -> bear market continue. https://t.co/tOi2iaGl1G

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@duje_matic's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	90 days · Long Term
Trigger	$66,500
Trigger Operator	Break Below

AI Reasoning

Claim 2: failing to run higher activates bear market continuation. No numeric trigger or target provided.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = bear market continues (BTC down). The trigger is 'fails to run higher'; no horizon phrase is bound to the outcome. No §4 signal fires for this leg → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

Gate 1: BTCUSDT on 1W timeframe confirmed. Gate 2: asset matches Stage 3 BTC. Gate 3: purple horizontal line at ~66,500 with upward arrow beyond it constitutes a break/close-above trigger structure. Gate 4: direction is up, and trigger is above current price of 65,410.76 — consistent with Category B break-above operator.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$65,410
Target	—
Duration	90 days · Long Term
Trigger level	$66,500
Trigger operator	Break Below
Conditional operator	Category B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below
Trigger hit	Yes
Trigger time	Jul 28, 2026 · 19:15 UTC

Scoring

This call is conditional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	90
Duration used in scoring	—

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B->4B_modeA
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$65,410
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

gate_3_confidence: chart_trigger_confidence

Merge Flags

trigger_from_chart: true

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mqs": null,
  "ocs": null,
  "tif": null,
  "status": "conditional_pending_insufficient_data",
  "eval_end": "2026-07-28 19:15:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": null,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-28 19:15:00+00:00",
  "trigger_ts": "2026-07-28 19:15:00+00:00",
  "trigger_hit": true,
  "review_flags": {
    "awaiting_post_trigger_data": {
      "required": 2,
      "aggregated_candles_after_trigger": 1
    }
  },
  "accuracy_score": null,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 1
}