Call Audit

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Passport #142304 · Jun 29, 2026 · 07:35 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@duje_matic

Jun 29, 2026 · 07:35 UTC

$btc YEARLY CANDLE. > EQ of FVG -> potential local bottom ( 60k ) > +orderblock as next potential local bottom ( 48k ) chart still bullish. https://t.co/evCPTAwgOU

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	$60,000
Trigger Operator	Acceptance Below

AI Reasoning

Forecaster identifies 60k (EQ of FVG) as a potential local bottom, implying price wicks down to this level then reverses up (chart still bullish). 48k is mentioned as an alternative/secondary potential bottom rather than a separate distinct claim with its own prediction. No explicit upside target stated. Trigger confidence flagged as the 60k level could be interpreted as a downside target rather than a reversal-up activation level.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC finds a local bottom (at 60k or 48k) and remains in a bullish structure. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase exists; 'YEARLY CANDLE' describes the chart analysis frame, not the outcome timeframe. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires distinctly → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$60,000
Target	—
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger level	$60,000
Trigger operator	Acceptance Below
Conditional operator	Category D — Bidding / Wick / Liquidity Grab (Reversal UP)
Trigger hit	Yes
Trigger time	Jun 30, 2026 · 00:00 UTC

Scoring

This call is conditional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B->4B_modeB
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$60,050
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

gate_3_confidence: post_trigger_confidence

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 2199.81,
  "mfe": 3461.99,
  "mqs": 0.622216,
  "ocs": 0.611465,
  "tif": 0.857143,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-04 19:45:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.258149,
  "sigma_d": 0.02699064,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-05 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.622216,
  "max_close": 63439.87,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-30 00:00:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": 60000,
  "trigger_ts": "2026-06-30 00:00:00+00:00",
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": true,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.973434,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.587243,
  "activation_price": 60000,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 503,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.059275,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 7,
  "trigger_candle_index": 0,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 7,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 6,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 7
}