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Passport #182869 · Aug 11, 2026 · 23:34 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

@drprofitcrypto

Aug 11, 2026 · 23:34 UTC

$BTC: Historic Indicator flashing bottom was in or is very close Realized Price by Age shows the average price at which different groups of Bitcoin last moved on-chain, giving us an estimate of their cost basis. The pink line represents Bitcoin held for 3–6 months, while the blue line represents BTC held for 1–2 years. In 2015, 2019 and 2022, the bottom-formation phase began when the pink line crossed below the blue line. This shows that newer buyers capitulated, sold at a loss and transferred their Bitcoin into stronger, longer-term hands. We are now seeing this crossover for the fourth time, while Bitcoin is trading below both groups’ average cost basis. Historically, however, this did not produce an immediate reversal, as Bitcoin continued moving sideways for months while the market formed its base which can be translated into an accumulation zone, what I spoke about in the last Sunday Reports. This is exactly what I believe we are witnessing now: a bear-market bottom formation and long-term accumulation phase. I am buying step by step between 54-64k since weeks already, and I am sharing each of my buy orders in 5% steps in real time in the premium membership only. Join now: https://t.co/Qx4dZU3sVM This is Educational content, not financial advice.

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Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	declarative
Duration	120 days · Long Term
Trigger	$64,000
Trigger Operator	Sweep Below (Reversal Up)

AI Reasoning

The forecaster is bidding/buying in the 54-64k range as an accumulation zone, implying a bullish reversal thesis upon reaching these levels. Using 64k as the higher end of the bid range per the UP-direction rule. No explicit numeric target stated.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC rises (bullish recovery) after accumulation in the 54–64k zone. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase exists. The post frames this as a 'bear-market bottom formation and long-term accumulation phase' with macro/cycle language ('bear-market bottom', 'longer-term hands', 'accumulation zone') → Signal H base 120.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$63,640
Target	—
Duration	120 days · Long Term
Trigger level	$64,000
Trigger operator	Sweep Below (Reversal Up)
Conditional operator	Category D — Bidding / Wick / Liquidity Grab (Reversal UP)
Trigger hit	Yes
Trigger time	Aug 12, 2026 · 05:15 UTC

Scoring

This call is conditional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	120
Duration used in scoring	—

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B->4B_modeB
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$63,640
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mqs": null,
  "ocs": null,
  "tif": null,
  "status": "conditional_pending_insufficient_data",
  "eval_end": "2026-08-12 05:15:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": null,
  "eval_start": "2026-08-12 05:15:00+00:00",
  "trigger_ts": "2026-08-12 05:15:00+00:00",
  "trigger_hit": true,
  "review_flags": {
    "awaiting_post_trigger_data": {
      "required": 2,
      "aggregated_candles_after_trigger": 1
    }
  },
  "accuracy_score": null,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 1
}