Passport #175474 · Aug 4, 2026 · 11:28 UTC · scored as of Sep 18, 2026 · 14:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 120 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Author states ETH is one of their 'biggest bets of this cycle' indicating bullish/up conviction. No specific price targets are mentioned. Tone is confident and unqualified, hence declarative.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH moves up. 'Biggest bets of this cycle' is earnest macro language (cycle framing) → Signal H base 120. No tiebreaker to reduce to 60.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 10.26,
"mfe": 13.02,
"mqs": 0.399238,
"ocs": 0.559276,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-04 12:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.015943,
"sigma_d": 0.02734286,
"eval_end": "2026-08-04 19:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.399238,
"max_close": 1879.04,
"min_close": 1862.06,
"eval_start": "2026-08-04 11:28:56+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 120,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.509557,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.493614,
"activation_price": 1868.98,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 33,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.013671,
"scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}