Passport #132940 · Jun 22, 2026 · 04:12 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Author explicitly states being heavily positioned short on BTC and 'positioned for downside' — clear bearish directional call. No specific price targets mentioned. Strong conviction language ('every single dollar') makes this declarative.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC declines (heavy short positioning). No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present. No bounce, bottom-call, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 2986.15,
"mfe": 6169.81,
"mqs": 0.731073,
"ocs": 0.673857,
"tif": 0.677419,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.414886,
"sigma_d": 0.02464931,
"eval_end": "2026-07-22 04:12:46+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.731073,
"max_close": 66944.4,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-22 04:12:46+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.313314,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.624309,
"activation_price": 63970,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.073439,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 21,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}