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Passport #82155 · May 26, 2026 · 11:57 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
DE@degen_hardy
May 26, 2026 · 11:57 UTC
The $BTC bottom ain't in yet!
I repeat...the Bitcoin bottom ain't in yet.
Same thing every cycle. https://t.co/vxRyfw8Rd5
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Forecaster declaratively states the BTC bottom is not in, implying further downside. No price targets provided. Repetition and emphatic tone support declarative commitment.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC continues lower (bottom not yet in). No explicit horizon phrase attached to the outcome. 'Same thing every cycle' is contextual cycle framing but not a macro payoff claim — no Signal H cue fires earnestly for the directional down call itself. DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $77,184 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.92composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.93 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.95 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 1.00 |
| Magnitude | 0.93 |
| Max Favorable Move | +23.4% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −1.2% |
| Candles evaluated | 2880 · 1d |
| Eval window | May 26, 2026 · 11:57 UTC → Jun 25, 2026 · 11:57 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $77,184 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 896.45,
"mfe": 18080.85,
"mqs": 0.934822,
"ocs": 0.952762,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-06-24 18:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.790337,
"sigma_d": 0.01586183,
"eval_end": "2026-06-25 11:57:20+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.934822,
"max_close": 77958.4,
"min_close": 59332.43,
"eval_start": "2026-05-26 11:57:20+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 2.730638,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.91948,
"activation_price": 77183.55,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.085789,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 31,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
} 