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Call Audit
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Passport #70395 · Feb 16, 2026 · 19:36 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
$ETH UPDATE 📊
No longs for me until we get a significant close above this zone. ($2.2K)
Overall, I am still bearish for the rest of the year.
Where do I think the bottom will be? Between $1.1K - $1.3K
Sorry to be the bearer of bad news, it's just technical analysis. https://t.co/5EMfAAtMln
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 314 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish directional call with explicit bottom target range of $1.1K–$1.3K. The $2.2K is an entry/reclaim level for longs, not a target. 'Still bearish' and stated bottom range are declarative.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH bottoms between $1.1K–$1.3K. 'For the rest of the year' is bound to the bearish directional outcome; D = 2026-02-16, Dec 31 2026 = 317 days out → explicit_timeframe = 317.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $1,978 |
| Target | $1,100 – $1,300 |
| Duration | 314 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 314 |
| Duration used in scoring | 314 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3AA->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $1,978 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 487.09,
"mfe": 472.14,
"mqs": 0.454329,
"ocs": 0.492207,
"tif": 0.6,
"mfe_ts": "2026-06-06 05:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.32548,
"sigma_d": 0.03767785,
"eval_end": "2026-07-03 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.454329,
"max_close": 2459.36,
"min_close": 1518.97,
"eval_start": "2026-02-16 19:36:21+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 314,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.605739,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.468004,
"activation_price": 1977.82,
"dir_target_score": 0.67695,
"candles_evaluated": 13096,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.394093,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
"tif_total_aggregated": 5,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 5,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 3,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 5
}