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Passport #142311 · Jun 29, 2026 · 08:20 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
GM legends ☕️
End of the month and my thesis hasn't changed.
$BTC still looks bearish to me.
We could see a relief rally from here, but I think any move into the $68K zone is more likely to be a liquidity sweep that traps late bulls before another leg lower.
That's the area I'll be watching closely.
Just my thesis, what's your take? 👀
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
First leg is a relief rally up to the $68K zone. Language 'could see a relief rally' and 'any move into the $68K zone' is hedged but commits to the upward path as the first leg.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC rallies toward $68K zone. No explicit horizon attached to this leg. 'Relief rally' language → Signal B base 14; no quick/urgency cues to push to 7, no medium-term language to push to 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $59,831 |
| Target | $68,000 – $68,000 |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.71composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.61 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.78 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.97 |
| Magnitude | 0.61 |
| Max Favorable Move | +11.9% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −3.4% |
| Candles evaluated | 2880 · 1d |
| Eval window | Jun 29, 2026 · 08:20 UTC → Jul 29, 2026 · 08:20 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3C->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $59,831 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 2030.82,
"mfe": 7125.14,
"mqs": 0.607578,
"ocs": 0.778197,
"tif": 0.967742,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-21 14:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.496862,
"sigma_d": 0.02699203,
"eval_end": "2026-07-29 08:20:44+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.607578,
"max_close": 66944.4,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-29 08:20:44+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.935417,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.712595,
"activation_price": 59831.01,
"dir_target_score": 0.87078,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.12731,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 30,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}