Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #65219 · Mar 17, 2026 · 10:28 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@damskotrades

Mar 17, 2026 · 10:28 UTC

- Bitcoin I’m macro bullish, but we’re at HTF resistance after a 26% bounce. Would be careful chasing here → rather wait for confirmation, more price action, or dips. Still in HYPE & FART, but still patient with macro positioning. https://t.co/J5qQ52m690

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

HYPE

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	HYPE
Direction	Long
Commitment	heavy_hedge
Duration	90 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

The post mentions 'Still in HYPE' indicating the author is holding a long position, which implies an up bias. However, no targets or explicit directional prediction for HYPE is made — it's just a position disclosure with cautious macro framing. A reasonable reader could argue this isn't a forecast at all for HYPE, so direction confidence fails. No price targets stated.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = HYPE continues up. 'Still in HYPE' is bag/hodl positioning language with 'patient with macro positioning' as a paired macro framing cue → Signal G base 90, ↑ to 120 not warranted as macro payoff is vague rather than explicit bullrun/cycle language, so stays at 90.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	HYPE
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$40.83
Target	—
Duration	90 days · Long Term

Scoring

0.81composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.76
Path Score (OCS)	0.85
Time Score (TIF)	0.64
Magnitude	0.76
Max Favorable Move	+85.5%
Max Unfavorable Move	−15.6%
Candles evaluated	8640 · 1w
Eval window	Mar 17, 2026 · 10:28 UTC → Jun 15, 2026 · 10:28 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	90
Duration used in scoring	90

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	heavy_hedge
Spot price at post	$40.83
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

gate_3_confidence: post_direction_confidence

Merge Flags

asset_mismatch: trueasset_mismatch_chart: BTCasset_mismatch_claim: HYPE

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 6.381,
  "mfe": 34.925,
  "mqs": 0.756112,
  "ocs": 0.845517,
  "tif": 0.642857,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-06-01 23:30:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.978479,
  "sigma_d": 0.06928557,
  "eval_end": "2026-06-15 10:28:36+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.756112,
  "max_close": 75.526,
  "min_close": 34.467,
  "eval_start": "2026-03-17 10:28:36+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 90,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.411046,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.805741,
  "activation_price": 40.832,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 8640,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.60617,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 14,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 14,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 9,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 14
}