Call Audit

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Passport #54112 · May 20, 2025 · 08:48 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@damskotrades

May 20, 2025 · 08:48 UTC

Been underwater in this market. Felt the pain. But never fully sidelined on Bitcoin. I believe Altcoins will still get a grand finale in this cycle. But in the next 5-10 years, I think the real pain will be not having enough Bitcoin. https://t.co/hZ53sRxIVO

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	3650 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Implicit long-term bullish call on BTC — 'real pain will be not having enough Bitcoin' over 5-10 years implies the forecaster expects significant price appreciation. No explicit price targets stated. 'I think' qualifies the statement as a mild hedge.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC appreciates in value. 'In the next 5-10 years' is bound to the outcome; midpoint of 5 and 10 years = 7.5 years ≈ 2738 days, but the phrase 'next 5-10 years' maps to the nearer bound of 5 years = 1825 days... re-evaluating: using the explicit phrase '5-10 years' I take the midpoint: (1825 + 3650) / 2 = 2737 days. However, checking §3.2 table: 'year or two / 1–2 years' = 365, '2 years' = 730, '3 years' = 1095 — no entry for 5-10 years, so computing directly: midpoint of 5 years (1825) and 10 years (3650) = 2737 days. explicit_timeframe = 2737.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$105,257
Target	—
Duration	3650 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	explicit_text
Duration stated (days)	3650
Duration used in scoring	3650

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$105,257
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 47141.87,
  "mfe": 21039.12,
  "mqs": 0.453244,
  "ocs": 0.308578,
  "tif": 0.357143,
  "mfe_ts": "2025-10-06 19:00:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.082762,
  "sigma_d": 0.02803812,
  "eval_end": "2026-06-30 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.453244,
  "max_close": 126099.22,
  "min_close": 58290.17,
  "eval_start": "2025-05-20 08:48:35+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 3650,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.603752,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.300432,
  "activation_price": 105256.88,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 38963,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.331069,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 14,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 14,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 5,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 14
}