Passport #183367 · Aug 12, 2026 · 12:00 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Clear bullish call for BTC to $500,000 stated multiple times as a mapped roadmap. Declarative tone ('isn't hope, isn't speculation'). Target is explicit and unambiguous.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC rises to $500,000. No explicit horizon phrase bound to the outcome. The post is earnest macro language ('the real move begins', 'what the channel has been building toward the entire time') describing a cycle-level target — Signal H applies. No altseason-only framing, so base 120 holds.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 949.67,
"mfe": 234.33,
"mqs": 0.298297,
"ocs": 0.197914,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-12 12:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.009636,
"sigma_d": 0.02058617,
"eval_end": "2026-08-12 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 63439.02,
"magnitude": 0.298297,
"max_close": 64412,
"min_close": 63363.39,
"eval_start": "2026-08-12 12:00:01+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-12 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 90,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.354245,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.126462,
"activation_price": 64265.67,
"dir_target_score": 0.000336,
"candles_evaluated": 30,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010293,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}