Passport #182359 · Aug 11, 2026 · 12:00 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 120 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Post declares 'the bull is already loading' with strong conviction based on historical chart patterns. Direction is clearly up. No specific price targets are stated in the post. Tone is declarative ('the chart has never been wrong').
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC enters a bull phase. No explicit horizon attached to the outcome. The post uses earnest macro/cycle language ('every single cycle', 'bear market', 'accumulation', 'pre-bull', 'bull is already loading') → Signal H base 120.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1237.58,
"mfe": 39.85,
"mqs": 0.058147,
"ocs": 0.031195,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-11 12:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.001415,
"sigma_d": 0.0206345,
"eval_end": "2026-08-11 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 63322,
"magnitude": 0.058147,
"max_close": 64475.58,
"min_close": 63248.54,
"eval_start": "2026-08-11 12:00:02+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-11 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 120,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.059906,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.022689,
"activation_price": 64475.58,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 30,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010317,
"scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}