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Passport #141166 · Jun 26, 2026 · 15:00 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
ETHEREUM'S GOLDEN TRIANGLE HAS SURVIVED EVERYTHING.
Covid crash. SURVIVED.
2022 bear market. SURVIVED.
2026 correction. SURVIVED.
Nine years of structure intact.
And right now price is at the apex.
This is the moment of truth.
Hold support → breakout inevitable → $10,000 measured target.
Lose support → nine years of structure breaks → big downside opens.
Above $4,350 and $10,000 becomes inevitable. Below $1,950 and everything breaks.
The next move decides nine years of structure.
Watch this level like your life depends on it.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | $1,950 |
| Trigger Operator | Break Below |
AI Reasoning
Claim 2: Below $1,950 is a break-below trigger with bearish direction. No specific numeric target stated ('big downside opens' is non-numeric).
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH breaks down significantly below $1,950. No horizon phrase is bound to this outcome. No §4 signal fires for this leg → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $1,579 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger level | $1,950 |
| Trigger operator | Break Below |
| Conditional operator | Category B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jun 27, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Scoring
0.15composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.32 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.07 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.10 |
| Magnitude | 0.32 |
| Max Favorable Move | +1.9% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −24.6% |
| Candles evaluated | 2881 · 1d |
| Eval window | Jun 27, 2026 · 00:00 UTC → Jul 27, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeB |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $1,567 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Merge Flags
trigger_p0_gap_over_20pct: 24.4
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 388.68,
"mfe": 30.31,
"mqs": 0.324579,
"ocs": 0.072341,
"tif": 0.096774,
"mfe_ts": "2026-06-28 23:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.087662,
"sigma_d": 0.03496215,
"eval_end": "2026-07-27 00:00:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.324579,
"max_close": 1957.24,
"min_close": 1552.79,
"eval_start": "2026-06-27 00:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 1578.68,
"trigger_ts": "2026-06-27 00:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {
"trigger_p0_gap_over_20pct": 24.4
},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.392419,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.145339,
"activation_price": 1578.68,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2881,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.048926,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": 0,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 3,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}