Passport #183331 · Aug 12, 2026 · 07:12 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | XRP |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bullish call for XRP with an explicit target of $4. 'Should hit 4$' with the conditional 'if everything goes well' qualifies as mild hedge. Sub-$1 mention is a description of past price action (shakeout), not a target.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = XRP hits $4. No explicit horizon phrase is bound to this outcome. The post mentions a reversal but frames it as a question with no timeframe attached. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 0.0152,
"mfe": 0.0044,
"mqs": 0.377422,
"ocs": 0.22335,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-12 12:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.019709,
"sigma_d": 0.01817367,
"eval_end": "2026-08-12 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 1.0076,
"magnitude": 0.377422,
"max_close": 1.0248,
"min_close": 1.0076,
"eval_start": "2026-08-12 07:12:55+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-12 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.473886,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.15512,
"activation_price": 1.0218,
"dir_target_score": 0.001007,
"candles_evaluated": 50,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.009087,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}