Passport #178256 · Aug 7, 2026 · 14:32 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
The forecaster declaratively states BTC will hit 60k before 66k, implying a downward move to 60k first. 60,000 is the predicted target in the down direction. 66,000 is a reference level, not a target. 'Bookmark this post' reinforces the declarative commitment.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC drops to $60k before reaching $66k. No explicit horizon phrase attached to the outcome. No bounce, bottom-call, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 174.57,
"mfe": 575.46,
"mqs": 0.686445,
"ocs": 0.767249,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-07 17:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.040442,
"sigma_d": 0.01524352,
"eval_end": "2026-08-07 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 64861,
"magnitude": 0.686445,
"max_close": 65100.46,
"min_close": 64599.99,
"eval_start": "2026-08-07 14:32:56+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-07 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.159781,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.623534,
"activation_price": 65100.46,
"dir_target_score": 0.098123,
"candles_evaluated": 20,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.007622,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}