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Call Audit
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Passport #182318 · Aug 11, 2026 · 07:27 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
🩸BREAKING: Bitcoin is now expected to fall as low as $61,000 by the end of August following yesterday’s drop https://t.co/wmzdpRQbGh
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 20 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Clear bearish call with 'fall as low as $61,000'. 'Expected to fall' is a mild hedge rather than a firm declarative. Target is explicit at 61000.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC falls to $61,000. 'By the end of August' is bound to the outcome. D = 2026-08-11; end of August = Aug 31, 2026; 31 − 11 = 20 days.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $63,913 |
| Target | $61,000 – $61,000 |
| Duration | 20 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.44composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.67 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.53 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.50 |
| Magnitude | 0.67 |
| Max Favorable Move | +1.1% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −0.9% |
| Candles evaluated | 49 · 12h |
| Eval window | Aug 11, 2026 · 07:27 UTC → Aug 11, 2026 · 19:30 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 20 |
| Duration used in scoring | 20 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $63,913 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 602.33,
"mfe": 675.1,
"mqs": 0.671902,
"ocs": 0.528483,
"tif": 0.5,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-11 19:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.059149,
"sigma_d": 0.01352334,
"eval_end": "2026-08-11 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 63322,
"magnitude": 0.671902,
"max_close": 64475.58,
"min_close": 63248.54,
"eval_start": "2026-08-11 07:27:39+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-11 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 20,
"mew_days_used": 20,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.114444,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.439883,
"activation_price": 63913.1,
"dir_target_score": 0.228128,
"candles_evaluated": 49,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.009478,
"scoring_candle_tf": "12h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 2,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 2,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}