Passport #178195 · Aug 7, 2026 · 07:21 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Author flags a 'dangerous bearish divergence' between falling CLARITY Act odds and rising BTC/ETH, calling the disconnect unsustainable and saying 'what's next is obvious' — implying a downward move. No explicit price targets stated. Tone is suggestive rather than fully declarative, so mild_hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH declines. Same bearish divergence framing with no outcome-anchored horizon phrase. No §4 signal fires distinctly — DEFAULT 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 37.44,
"mfe": 3.67,
"mqs": 0.166565,
"ocs": 0.089272,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-07 08:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.008816,
"sigma_d": 0.02114082,
"eval_end": "2026-08-07 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 1914.36,
"magnitude": 0.166565,
"max_close": 1933.85,
"min_close": 1902.36,
"eval_start": "2026-08-07 07:21:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-07 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.182199,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.066163,
"activation_price": 1905.58,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 49,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.01057,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}