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Passport #154137 · Jul 14, 2026 · 10:58 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
CR@cryptorover
Jul 14, 2026 · 10:58 UTC
THE BITCOIN BULL TRAP MAY HAVE ALREADY STARTED.
Three identical setups.
Three Fair Value Gaps.
The first two ended with brutal selloffs.
The third one is happening right now. https://t.co/0bXIxn1ftV
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish call implied by 'bull trap' and comparison to prior 'brutal selloffs' — direction is down. No numeric targets stated. 'May have already started' is a mild hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC sells off (bearish directional). No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present; 'right now' describes the trigger setup, not the outcome's timeframe. No bounce, bottom-call, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $62,800 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $62,800 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 2300,
"mfe": 86.4,
"mqs": 0.118221,
"ocs": 0.036205,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-14 11:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.006298,
"sigma_d": 0.0218704,
"eval_end": "2026-07-15 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.118221,
"max_close": 65043.98,
"min_close": 62792.09,
"eval_start": "2026-07-14 10:58:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.125814,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.040181,
"activation_price": 62800,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 75,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010935,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 2,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 2,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
} 