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Passport #152208 · Jul 13, 2026 · 13:06 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
Bitcoin is about to crash hard... https://t.co/0KHedT36NR
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Clear bearish call with 'about to crash hard' — declarative language. No specific price target stated in the post.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC crashes down. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase. 'About to crash' carries urgency/imminent register → Signal C base 14, no tiebreakers fire.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $62,518 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 90 |
| Duration used in scoring | 90 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $62,518 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 465.82,
"mfe": 693.04,
"mqs": 0.646127,
"ocs": 0.598036,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-13 18:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.029289,
"sigma_d": 0.02134241,
"eval_end": "2026-07-13 19:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.646127,
"max_close": 62814,
"min_close": 61904.99,
"eval_start": "2026-07-13 13:06:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 90,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.038819,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.568363,
"activation_price": 62518.01,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 26,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010671,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}