Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #151168 · Jul 12, 2026 · 18:03 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@cryptorover

Jul 12, 2026 · 18:03 UTC

Bitcoin Progress since the halving. The conclusion is simple. The next 2-3 months will suck. 2027-2029 will be legendary. https://t.co/ckNN34vBYU

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	declarative
Duration	76 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

The phrase 'next 2-3 months will suck' clearly signals a bearish near-term outlook, using declarative language ('will'). No specific price targets are stated for the down move, so target_lo and target_hi are null. The 2027-2029 leg is discarded per Stage 2.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC declines over the next 2-3 months. 'Next 2-3 months' is bound to the outcome. D = 2026-07-12; midpoint of 60 and 90 = 75, but per §3.2 'next 2–3 months' maps to 17 days for 2–3 weeks... actually per table 'next 2–3 weeks' = 17, so by analogy 'next 2–3 months' = midpoint of 60 and 90 = 75, rounded = 75. Using §3.2: 'next 2–3 months' → midpoint of 60 and 90 = 75 days → explicit_timeframe = 75.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$64,039
Target	—
Duration	76 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	explicit_text
Duration stated (days)	76
Duration used in scoring	76

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$64,039
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 386.12,
  "mfe": 1538.12,
  "mqs": 0.801997,
  "ocs": 0.799339,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-13 05:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.068967,
  "sigma_d": 0.02171048,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-13 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.801997,
  "max_close": 64295,
  "min_close": 62672,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-12 18:03:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 76,
  "mew_days_used": 76,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.619473,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.667576,
  "activation_price": 64038.88,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 46,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.014831,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}