Passport #179389 · Aug 8, 2026 · 17:32 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 1 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
First leg is a directional move down to the upper liquidity cluster at $65.5K-$66K, which the forecaster expects to be taken first. 'My money is still on' conveys a leaning but hedged commitment.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC drops to the $65.5K-$66K liquidity cluster. No explicit horizon attached to this outcome. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires for this leg → DEFAULT 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 177.82,
"mfe": 392.1,
"mqs": 0.475193,
"ocs": 0.687991,
"tif": 0.822917,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-09 03:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.149824,
"sigma_d": 0.01449733,
"eval_end": "2026-08-09 17:32:27+00:00",
"end_close": 65239.15,
"magnitude": 0.475193,
"max_close": 65260.01,
"min_close": 64732.01,
"eval_start": "2026-08-08 17:32:27+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-09 17:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {
"target_wrong_side_down": true
},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 1,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.644724,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.533981,
"activation_price": 65122.18,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 96,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.009339,
"scoring_candle_tf": "15m",
"tif_total_aggregated": 96,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 96,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 79,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 96
}