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Call Audit
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Passport #169277 · Jul 28, 2026 · 16:23 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
The summer uptrend is over.
$BTC is showing similar price action to the April-May uptrend:
- Lost key support (red box)
- Broke H4 EMA 50-200 uptrend
- Formed lower high.
We will revisit sub $60k in the coming weeks. https://t.co/OueAbcwN4L
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Clear bearish call — 'summer uptrend is over' and 'will revisit sub $60k' are declarative. Target of 60000 explicitly stated as the sub-level price will revisit. Direction is unambiguous down.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC revisits sub $60k. 'In the coming weeks' is bound to the outcome → §3.2 'coming weeks' = 14 days.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $63,842 |
| Target | $60,000 – $60,000 |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
Scoring
0.38composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.55 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.49 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.33 |
| Magnitude | 0.55 |
| Max Favorable Move | +2.5% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −2.6% |
| Candles evaluated | 1344 · 8h |
| Eval window | Jul 28, 2026 · 16:23 UTC → Aug 11, 2026 · 16:23 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 14 |
| Duration used in scoring | 14 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $63,842 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1632.46,
"mfe": 1567,
"mqs": 0.546559,
"ocs": 0.48977,
"tif": 0.325581,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-01 18:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.163005,
"sigma_d": 0.01533067,
"eval_end": "2026-08-11 16:23:54+00:00",
"end_close": 63602,
"magnitude": 0.546559,
"max_close": 65408.05,
"min_close": 62340.01,
"eval_start": "2026-07-28 16:23:54+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-11 16:15:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 14,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.79089,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.381229,
"activation_price": 63842,
"dir_target_score": 0.39094,
"candles_evaluated": 1344,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.031035,
"scoring_candle_tf": "8h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 14,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}