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Call Audit
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Passport #120450 · Jun 16, 2026 · 17:02 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
In 2022, $BTC bottomed slightly under $20K (2017 ATH).
In 2026, $BTC will bottom slightly under $60K (2021 ATH). https://t.co/1Lmn9bbPTy
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 199 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Forecaster declaratively states BTC will bottom slightly under $60K in 2026, implying a downward move to that level. The $20K reference is historical context, not a target. Single target extracted at 60000.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC bottoms slightly under $60K. 'In 2026' is bound to the outcome. D = 2026-06-16; Dec 31 2026 − Jun 16 2026 = 198 days, minimum 1, so 198 days.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $65,792 |
| Target | $60,000 – $60,000 |
| Duration | 199 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 199 |
| Duration used in scoring | 199 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $65,792 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 653.92,
"mfe": 7991.82,
"mqs": 0.774334,
"ocs": 0.924365,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.212601,
"sigma_d": 0.0215456,
"eval_end": "2026-07-05 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.774334,
"max_close": 66258,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-16 17:02:22+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 199,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.488701,
"target_hit_ts": "2026-06-24 17:00:00+00:00",
"accuracy_score": 0.727825,
"activation_price": 65792.01,
"dir_target_score": 1,
"candles_evaluated": 1778,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.081595,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}