Call Audit

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Passport #84270 · Jun 5, 2026 · 19:02 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

@cryptonewton

Jun 5, 2026 · 19:02 UTC

$BTC My roadmap Bull case: Hold 54k–55k Print a weekly hammer / engulfing candle Recover 68k - 70k Then this becomes a giant bear trap. Bear case Lose 54k weekly Trendline breaks Market starts pricing a move toward the low 40s https://t.co/ARk37i0UQL

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@cryptonewton's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	90 days · Long Term
Trigger	$54,000
Trigger Operator	Break Below

AI Reasoning

Bear case: losing 54k weekly is the break-below trigger, with target 'low 40s' approximated as 40000. Target confidence flagged as 'low 40s' is vague language that could reasonably be interpreted differently.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC moves toward low 40s. The trigger is 'lose 54k weekly / trendline breaks'; no horizon phrase is bound to the outcome. No specific §4 signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$59,392
Target	$40,000 – $40,000
Duration	90 days · Long Term
Trigger level	$54,000
Trigger operator	Break Below
Conditional operator	Category B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below
Trigger hit	No

Scoring

This call is conditional pending — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	90
Duration used in scoring	—

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B->4B_modeB
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$59,392
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

gate_3_confidence: post_target_confidence

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mqs": null,
  "ocs": null,
  "tif": null,
  "status": "untriggered",
  "eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": null,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-05 19:02:40+00:00",
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "trigger_hit": false,
  "review_flags": {},
  "accuracy_score": null,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 2730
}