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Call Audit
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Passport #163521 · Jul 23, 2026 · 08:50 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
$BTC's weekly death cross is such a lagging indicator, by the time it flashes, the bear market is usually close to ending.
Doesn't look like this time will be much different.
Disclosure: accumulating btc. https://t.co/mMeL8PLGx1
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 60 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Author suggests bear market is close to ending and discloses accumulating BTC, indicating an up bias. No price targets are stated. 'Usually' and 'doesn't look like this time will be much different' qualifies the call as a mild hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC moves up (bear market ending, accumulation play). No explicit horizon on the outcome. 'Accumulating btc' fires Signal E; paired with macro/cycle framing ('bear market is usually close to ending') → ↑ to 60.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $65,633 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 60 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 60 |
| Duration used in scoring | 60 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $65,633 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 983,
"mfe": 159.09,
"mqs": 0.189736,
"ocs": 0.139297,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-23 11:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.007846,
"sigma_d": 0.02304169,
"eval_end": "2026-07-23 19:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.189736,
"max_close": 65781.99,
"min_close": 64681.27,
"eval_start": "2026-07-23 08:50:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 60,
"mew_days_used": 60,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.210395,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.08422,
"activation_price": 65633,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 42,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.011521,
"scoring_candle_tf": "3d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}