Call Audit

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Passport #161545 · Jul 21, 2026 · 13:05 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

@cryptojelleNL

Jul 21, 2026 · 13:05 UTC

Over the past decade, $BTC and $GOLD have taken turns to run. Bitcoin outperforms gold most of the time, but GOLD gets a 14-month long window every once in a while too. We completed that window earlier this year. Time for BTC to shine, again. https://t.co/H8tt0K8pls

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@cryptojelleNL's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	declarative
Duration	120 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Bullish directional call for BTC based on 'Time for BTC to shine, again' following gold's outperformance window. No specific price targets provided. Declarative tone with no hedging language.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC outperforms / moves up. No explicit horizon phrase bound to the outcome. The post references a historical 14-month cycle rotation pattern and uses macro framing ('Time for BTC to shine, again'), signaling a macro/cycle thesis → Signal H base 120.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$66,622
Target	—
Duration	120 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	120
Duration used in scoring	120

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$66,622
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

gate_5_asset_mismatch: path=3A->4A, claim=BTC, chart=NON_USD_PAIR

Merge Flags

asset_mismatch: trueasset_mismatch_chart: NON_USD_PAIRasset_mismatch_claim: BTC

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 1068.33,
  "mfe": 334.15,
  "mqs": 0.379652,
  "ocs": 0.238257,
  "tif": 0,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-21 14:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.011479,
  "sigma_d": 0.02100891,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-23 05:15:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.379652,
  "max_close": 66944.4,
  "min_close": 65616.48,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-21 13:05:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 120,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.477475,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.157347,
  "activation_price": 66622,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 161,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.010504,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}