Passport #155155 · Jul 16, 2026 · 14:30 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Author suggests BTC could test $70k, implying a downward move. 'Wouldn't surprise me' is a heavy hedge. Single target of 70000 in the down direction.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC tests $70k. 'In the coming weeks' is bound to the outcome → §3.2: 'coming weeks' = 14 days.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 2228.46,
"mfe": 2190.13,
"mqs": 0.583674,
"ocs": 0.495663,
"tif": 0.395349,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-21 14:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.222796,
"sigma_d": 0.01727605,
"eval_end": "2026-07-30 14:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.583674,
"max_close": 66944.4,
"min_close": 62568.18,
"eval_start": "2026-07-16 14:30:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 14,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.876286,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.42437,
"activation_price": 64766.02,
"dir_target_score": 0.4162,
"candles_evaluated": 1345,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.03859,
"scoring_candle_tf": "8h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 17,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}