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Call Audit
Every scored call is fully auditable
Passport #154150 · Jul 14, 2026 · 12:43 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
$BTC is still playing out similarly to the 2022 bottom structure.
Not expecting an exact repeat, but a similar playbook would not surprise me one bit.
Bottom later this year, a slow start to the next bull, and then the real fun can resume in 2027. https://t.co/CGt5QJiltl
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 170 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Per Stage 2, only the first leg (down toward a bottom later this year) is scored. No numeric target provided. Language 'would not surprise me' indicates a mild hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC bottoms later this year. 'Later this year' is bound to the outcome (the bottom). D = 2026-07-14; 'later this year' → Dec 31, 2026; Dec 31 − Jul 14 = 170 days.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $63,554 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 170 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 170 |
| Duration used in scoring | 170 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $63,554 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1545.78,
"mfe": 604.53,
"mqs": 0.590814,
"ocs": 0.281136,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-14 12:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.018289,
"sigma_d": 0.02128957,
"eval_end": "2026-07-15 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.590814,
"max_close": 65043.98,
"min_close": 63554.22,
"eval_start": "2026-07-14 12:43:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 170,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.893586,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.22256,
"activation_price": 63554.22,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 68,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010645,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}