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Passport #152223 · Jul 13, 2026 · 14:46 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
Different week, same plan.
Just bought another batch of $BTC, adding to my long-term exposure.
Will use the summer to reposition myself for the next bull run, which I suspect will take us towards the $200k mark.
You ready? https://t.co/fGzWXM2Hw1
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 120 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Clear bullish stance from accumulation language and 'next bull run'. Target of $200k explicitly stated as the forecaster's prediction. 'I suspect' softens to mild_hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC rises toward $200k. No explicit horizon bound to the outcome. 'Next bull run' is earnest macro language (bull run, $200k target) → Signal H base 120; no tiebreaker cues to move to 60.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $62,792 |
| Target | $200,000 – $200,000 |
| Duration | 120 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 120 |
| Duration used in scoring | 120 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $62,792 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 966.88,
"mfe": 191.98,
"mqs": 0.249063,
"ocs": 0.165663,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-13 15:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.006998,
"sigma_d": 0.02134805,
"eval_end": "2026-07-13 19:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.249063,
"max_close": 62814,
"min_close": 61904.99,
"eval_start": "2026-07-13 14:46:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 120,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.286434,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.105431,
"activation_price": 62791.85,
"dir_target_score": 0.000161,
"candles_evaluated": 19,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010674,
"scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}