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Call Audit
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Passport #179371 · Aug 8, 2026 · 16:00 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
#Bitcoin is at the same extreme undervaluation as during the 2022 bear market bottom https://t.co/wM654528eU
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Comparing BTC to the 2022 bear market bottom implies undervaluation, an implicit bullish lean. No explicit price targets stated. Tone is observational/analytical rather than a firm declaration, so mild_hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC moves up from an undervalued state. No explicit horizon phrase is attached to the outcome. The post uses valuation comparison language ('extreme undervaluation', '2022 bear market bottom') which is macro context but not a macro outcome claim (no bullrun/cycle/altseason framing) — no §4 signal fires cleanly → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $65,087 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $65,087 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 66.02,
"mfe": 62.98,
"mqs": 0.121295,
"ocs": 0.488217,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-08 17:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.004429,
"sigma_d": 0.01496648,
"eval_end": "2026-08-08 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 65021,
"magnitude": 0.121295,
"max_close": 65122.18,
"min_close": 65021,
"eval_start": "2026-08-08 16:00:51+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-08 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.129306,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.153485,
"activation_price": 65087.02,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 14,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.007483,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}