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Call Audit
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Passport #172638 · Jul 31, 2026 · 22:00 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
A massive Bitcoin capitulation hasn't happened yet, which suggests the bottom is still ahead... https://t.co/NnWcKpzfW5
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish call — 'bottom is still ahead' implies further downside. 'Suggests' softens it to mild_hedge. No explicit price targets stated.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC goes lower (bottom still ahead). No explicit horizon phrase bound to the outcome. 'Bottom is still ahead' is a bottom-call framing → Signal B2 base 30, with no tiebreaker cues to modulate.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $63,002 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $63,002 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 113.54,
"mfe": 141.83,
"mqs": 0.234434,
"ocs": 0.55539,
"tif": 0.5,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-01 00:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.010305,
"sigma_d": 0.01685397,
"eval_end": "2026-08-01 05:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.234434,
"max_close": 63115.01,
"min_close": 62887.88,
"eval_start": "2026-07-31 22:00:38+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.26714,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.325032,
"activation_price": 63002.47,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 29,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.008427,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 2,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 2,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}