Passport #169232 · Jul 28, 2026 · 09:51 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Poster explicitly states they are $1M short BTC with declarative all-caps emphasis ('IT'S SO OBVIOUS'). No price targets are provided in the post text itself.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC declines. No horizon phrase is attached to the outcome. No bounce, bottom-call, urgency, accumulation, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 706.01,
"mfe": 651.52,
"mqs": 0.68207,
"ocs": 0.47993,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-28 14:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.04701,
"sigma_d": 0.01793716,
"eval_end": "2026-07-28 19:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.68207,
"max_close": 64043.26,
"min_close": 62991.28,
"eval_start": "2026-07-28 09:51:58+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.145924,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.302252,
"activation_price": 63393.99,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 38,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.008969,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}