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Call Audit
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Passport #164575 · Jul 24, 2026 · 10:00 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
#BTC may form its market bottom by October - November. https://t.co/irUGrDyg0x
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 130 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Forecaster predicts BTC will 'form its market bottom' by Oct-Nov, implying price will decline to a low point before then. Direction is down. 'May' indicates mild hedge. No specific price target stated.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC forms its market bottom. 'By October - November' is bound to the outcome; D = 2026-07-24, midpoint of end-of-October (Oct 31) and end-of-November (Nov 30) = Nov 15, 2026; Nov 15 2026 − Jul 24 2026 = 114 days. Using the midpoint of Oct 31 (99 days) and Nov 30 (129 days) = round((99+129)/2) = 114 days → explicit_timeframe = 114.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $65,005 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 130 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 130 |
| Duration used in scoring | 130 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $65,005 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 150.1,
"mfe": 1086,
"mqs": 0.796841,
"ocs": 0.87857,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-24 14:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.036721,
"sigma_d": 0.02096469,
"eval_end": "2026-07-24 14:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.796841,
"max_close": 65080.4,
"min_close": 64155.9,
"eval_start": "2026-07-24 10:00:50+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 130,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.593766,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.678033,
"activation_price": 65005,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 17,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010482,
"scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}