Call Audit

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Passport #171733 · Jul 31, 2026 · 00:04 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

@cryptogodjohn

Jul 31, 2026 · 00:04 UTC

𝕏

Bitcoin refusing to go down Sooner or later we get the 15-20% daily candle that will mark the bottom

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@cryptogodjohn's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	declarative
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Forecaster predicts a 15-20% down daily candle 'sooner or later' — clear down directional call. The 15-20% is a candle size descriptor, not a price target destination, and no explicit price level is given, so targets are null. 'Sooner or later we get' is declarative in tone.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC drops in a large daily candle marking the bottom. 'Sooner or later' is vague forward language with no outcome-anchored horizon; no bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires distinctly → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$64,820
Target	—
Duration	30 days · Medium Term

Scoring

0.57composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.70
Path Score (OCS)	0.52
Time Score (TIF)	1.00
Magnitude	0.70
Max Favorable Move	+1.0%
Max Unfavorable Move	−0.9%
Candles evaluated	21 · 1d
Eval window	Jul 31, 2026 · 00:04 UTC → Jul 31, 2026 · 05:15 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$64,820
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 589.81,
  "mfe": 647.75,
  "mqs": 0.695328,
  "ocs": 0.523409,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-31 03:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.045712,
  "sigma_d": 0.01681602,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-31 05:15:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.695328,
  "max_close": 65189.32,
  "min_close": 64230.56,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-31 00:04:27+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 29,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.188521,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.566112,
  "activation_price": 64819.75,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 21,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.008408,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}