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Passport #65629 · Mar 20, 2026 · 08:50 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
CR@cryptochimpanz
Mar 20, 2026 · 08:50 UTC
𝕏 If we can't even break this, we won't go anywhere but down imo.
$SOL https://t.co/9LLODLsdM2
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | SOL |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | $95.26 |
| Trigger Operator | Break Below |
AI Reasoning
Conditional claim: if SOL can't break a level (referenced on chart but no explicit number in text), price will go down. No numeric trigger or target stated in the post text. 'imo' indicates mild hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = SOL declines if the resistance level fails to break. Per §0.5, the conditional 'if we can't break this' is the trigger; no horizon phrase is attached to the downside outcome. No §4 signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
Gate 1 passed: SOL/USDT on 1W timeframe. Gate 2 passed: asset matches Stage 3 (SOL). Gate 3 passed: horizontal line at ~95.26 with red downward arrow constitutes a visible trigger structure. Gate 4 passed: down direction is consistent with a failure-to-reclaim structure above current price (89.78).
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | SOL |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $91.7 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
| Trigger level | $95.26 |
| Trigger operator | Break Below |
| Conditional operator | Category B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Mar 26, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Scoring
0.78composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.63 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.82 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.93 |
| Magnitude | 0.63 |
| Max Favorable Move | +34.4% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −7.3% |
| Candles evaluated | 8641 · 1w |
| Eval window | Mar 26, 2026 · 00:00 UTC → Jun 24, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 90 |
| Duration used in scoring | 90 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeA |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $89.78 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Merge Flags
trigger_from_chart: true
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 6.71,
"mfe": 31.57,
"mqs": 0.634974,
"ocs": 0.82471,
"tif": 0.928571,
"mfe_ts": "2026-06-06 05:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.721069,
"sigma_d": 0.04019868,
"eval_end": "2026-06-24 00:00:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.634974,
"max_close": 98.19,
"min_close": 60.6,
"eval_start": "2026-03-26 00:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 91.7,
"trigger_ts": "2026-03-26 00:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 90,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.007786,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.777331,
"activation_price": 91.7,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 8641,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.341615,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 14,
"trigger_candle_index": 0,
"aggregated_candles_count": 14,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 13,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 14
}