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Call Audit
Every scored call is fully auditable
Passport #64323 · Mar 10, 2026 · 08:32 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
I haven't been very active on Twitter lately.
Simply because nothing much is happening and thus I'm not that motivated to engage in this price action and posting about chop.
$78k remains the level to break for bulls. Otherwise going down is more likely imo.
$BTC https://t.co/g0EViUoD1X
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | $78,000 |
| Trigger Operator | Hold Above |
AI Reasoning
Claim 2: If $78k holds as resistance (not broken), bearish continuation is more likely per 'imo' hedge. No numeric target specified.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC goes down if $78k fails to break. No horizon phrase attached to the downside outcome. No §4 signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $75,780 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
| Trigger level | $78,000 |
| Trigger operator | Hold Above |
| Conditional operator | Category A — Hold/Defend/Maintain/Resistance |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Apr 30, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Scoring
0.64composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.66 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.72 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.64 |
| Magnitude | 0.66 |
| Max Favorable Move | +23.7% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −9.3% |
| Candles evaluated | 6167 · 1w |
| Eval window | Apr 30, 2026 · 00:00 UTC → Jul 3, 2026 · 05:30 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 90 |
| Duration used in scoring | 90 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeB |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $70,919 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 7070,
"mfe": 17979.81,
"mqs": 0.658682,
"ocs": 0.717762,
"tif": 0.636364,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.556019,
"sigma_d": 0.02801997,
"eval_end": "2026-07-03 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.658682,
"max_close": 82684.01,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-04-30 00:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 75780,
"trigger_ts": "2026-04-30 00:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 90,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.074941,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.642207,
"activation_price": 75780,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 6167,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.220722,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 11,
"trigger_candle_index": 7,
"aggregated_candles_count": 11,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 7,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 11
}