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Passport #147407 · Jul 8, 2026 · 12:15 UTC · scored as of Jul 18, 2026 · 20:43 UTC
CR@cryptochimpanz
Jul 8, 2026 · 12:15 UTC
𝕏 How about 3 digits for Ethereum?
$ETH https://t.co/NJl54oM3tq
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 60 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
'3 digits for Ethereum' implies ETH falling to a price between $100-$999, which is a bearish call since ETH would need to decline significantly. Phrased as a rhetorical question ('How about...?') = heavy_hedge. Target is inferred from '3 digits' meaning any 3-digit number, so range is 100-999, but this is imprecise and could be argued as not a firm target.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH drops to 3-digit price (below $1000). No horizon phrase attached to the outcome. No bounce, bottom, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $1,747 |
| Target | $100 – $999 |
| Duration | 60 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 60 |
| Duration used in scoring | 60 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | heavy_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $1,747 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_3_confidence: post_target_confidence
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 32.84,
"mfe": 34.05,
"mqs": 0.727911,
"ocs": 0.509044,
"tif": 0.5,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-08 15:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.062986,
"sigma_d": 0.02993961,
"eval_end": "2026-07-10 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.727911,
"max_close": 1779.32,
"min_close": 1717.47,
"eval_start": "2026-07-08 12:15:44+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 60,
"mew_days_used": 60,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.301626,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.449985,
"activation_price": 1747.49,
"dir_target_score": 0.040107,
"candles_evaluated": 165,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.01497,
"scoring_candle_tf": "3d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 2,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 2,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}