Call Audit

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Passport #147407 · Jul 8, 2026 · 12:15 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

@cryptochimpanz

Jul 8, 2026 · 12:15 UTC

𝕏

How about 3 digits for Ethereum? $ETH https://t.co/NJl54oM3tq

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@cryptochimpanz's ETH record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

ETH

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	ETH
Direction	Short
Commitment	heavy_hedge
Duration	60 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

'3 digits for Ethereum' implies ETH falling to a price between $100-$999, which is a bearish call since ETH would need to decline significantly. Phrased as a rhetorical question ('How about...?') = heavy_hedge. Target is inferred from '3 digits' meaning any 3-digit number, so range is 100-999, but this is imprecise and could be argued as not a firm target.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = ETH drops to 3-digit price (below $1000). No horizon phrase attached to the outcome. No bounce, bottom, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	ETH
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$1,747
Target	$100 – $999
Duration	60 days · Medium Term

Scoring

0.45composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.73
Path Score (OCS)	0.51
Time Score (TIF)	0.50
Magnitude	0.73
Max Favorable Move	+1.9%
Max Unfavorable Move	−1.9%
Candles evaluated	165 · 3d
Eval window	Jul 8, 2026 · 12:15 UTC → Jul 10, 2026 · 05:30 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	60
Duration used in scoring	60

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	heavy_hedge
Spot price at post	$1,747
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

gate_3_confidence: post_target_confidence

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 32.84,
  "mfe": 34.05,
  "mqs": 0.727911,
  "ocs": 0.509044,
  "tif": 0.5,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-08 15:30:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.062986,
  "sigma_d": 0.02993961,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-10 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.727911,
  "max_close": 1779.32,
  "min_close": 1717.47,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-08 12:15:44+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 60,
  "mew_days_used": 60,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.301626,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.449985,
  "activation_price": 1747.49,
  "dir_target_score": 0.040107,
  "candles_evaluated": 165,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.01497,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "3d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 2,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 2,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}