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Call Audit
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Passport #183405 · Aug 12, 2026 · 16:35 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
$BTC | My expectations for the next 2-3 months
In July we were close, but we couldn't take out the June’s high ($67.3k)
It would make sense to grab that liquidity before going lower 📉
(It’s not necessary, but still possible)
+ it would be nice to test the 21-Week EMA one more time 🔨
👉 $58k was not the bottom!
The final leg down of this Bear Market is coming 🩸
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 17 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Clear bearish call: '$58k was not the bottom' and 'final leg down is coming' indicate a down direction with declarative tone. $67.3k is referenced as a possible liquidity grab (against the direction of the call) and $58k is referenced as a prior low that will be broken, not a target. No explicit downside price target is given.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC makes a final leg down (bear market continuation). The post title 'next 2-3 months' is bound to the overall thesis/outcome. D = 2026-08-12; 'next 2-3 months' → §3.2 table: 17 days.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $63,520 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 17 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 17 |
| Duration used in scoring | 17 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $63,520 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 57.61,
"mfe": 146.42,
"mqs": 0.281212,
"ocs": 0.717639,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-12 19:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.014016,
"sigma_d": 0.01396222,
"eval_end": "2026-08-12 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 63439.02,
"magnitude": 0.281212,
"max_close": 63540.73,
"min_close": 63386.16,
"eval_start": "2026-08-12 16:35:12+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-12 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 17,
"mew_days_used": 17,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.330189,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.503217,
"activation_price": 63520.39,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 12,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.006981,
"scoring_candle_tf": "8h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}