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Call Audit
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Passport #182365 · Aug 11, 2026 · 13:08 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
$ETH | My expectations for the next 2-3 months
🔨 Resistance - 21-Week EMA
🧲 Magnet - April 2025 Low
We’re still in a Bear Market 🤷♂️ https://t.co/YWyzqOPTLE
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 17 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish call — author states 'still in a Bear Market' and identifies the April 2025 low as a downside magnet. No specific numeric target is stated in the post text itself (only referenced as 'April 2025 Low'), so targets are null. 'Expectations' and shrug emoji indicate mild hedge rather than declarative.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH declines (bearish, April 2025 low as target). 'Next 2-3 months' is bound to the outcome. D = 2026-08-11; 2-3 months → §3.2 'next 2–3 weeks' analog maps to 17 days, but 'next 2–3 months' → midpoint of 60 and 90 = round((60+90)/2) = 75 days. explicit_timeframe = 75.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $1,890 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 17 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 17 |
| Duration used in scoring | 17 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $1,890 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 3.02,
"mfe": 36.05,
"mqs": 0.871285,
"ocs": 0.9227,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-11 15:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.115491,
"sigma_d": 0.01861068,
"eval_end": "2026-08-11 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 1866.39,
"magnitude": 0.871285,
"max_close": 1890.37,
"min_close": 1859.67,
"eval_start": "2026-08-11 13:08:13+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-11 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 17,
"mew_days_used": 17,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 2.050157,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.727369,
"activation_price": 1889.67,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 26,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.009305,
"scoring_candle_tf": "8h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 2,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 2,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}