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Call Audit
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Passport #178248 · Aug 7, 2026 · 13:36 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
The last 2 months of the $BTC Bear Market are typically very bearish 🩸
Most of CT have now flipped bullish and saying that the bottom is already in.
Too many people go against the four year cycle and always end up getting rekt 🤷♂️
Final capitulation is inevitable 📉 https://t.co/GHdbwpyWyC
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish call — 'final capitulation is inevitable' and 'very bearish' indicate a down direction. 'Inevitable' is declarative language. No specific price targets stated.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC final capitulation/further downside. No explicit horizon phrase bound to the outcome. 'Last 2 months of the Bear Market' describes a cycle phase/context, not an outcome horizon. 'Final capitulation is inevitable' with four-year cycle framing and bear market macro language → Signal B2 (bottom call/trend reversal) with macro/cycle framing → ↑ to 60.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $65,308 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 90 |
| Duration used in scoring | 90 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $65,308 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 29.65,
"mfe": 783.35,
"mqs": 0.685135,
"ocs": 0.96353,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-07 17:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.031689,
"sigma_d": 0.02075895,
"eval_end": "2026-08-07 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 64861,
"magnitude": 0.685135,
"max_close": 65308.35,
"min_close": 64599.99,
"eval_start": "2026-08-07 13:36:49+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-07 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 90,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.155611,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.670088,
"activation_price": 65308.35,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 24,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010379,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}